Baseline optimism / strategic presentation
Favourable baseline assumptions or presentation are recorded only where supported by inquiry, audit, regulatory, or equivalent documentary evidence.
Pattern explorer · Seed sample
Fourteen codes. One living matrix.
See where each documentary signal appears, read its definition, and move directly into the project record.
CODE PRESENCE ≠ SINGLE-CAUSE ATTRIBUTION
Code / Project
01Muskrat Falls02Site C03Trans Mountain Expansion04Coastal GasLink05Keeyask Generating Station06Darlington Refurbishment07Ottawa Confederation Line08Eglinton Crosstown LRT09Finch West LRT10Réseau express métropolitain11Valley Line West LRT12Samuel De Champlain Bridge13Gordie Howe International Bridge14CHUM Superhospital15Mary River Phase 2 Upstream evidence code
Baseline optimism / strategic presentation
Favourable baseline assumptions or presentation are recorded only where supported by inquiry, audit, regulatory, or equivalent documentary evidence.
Delivery mechanism
Productivity or capability loss
Documented productivity deterioration, capability gaps, disrupted work fronts, or related delivery losses.
Upstream / site knowledge
Site or geotechnical uncertainty
Ground, site, or subsurface conditions materially differed from the knowledge available to the project baseline.
Mechanism and/or outcome
Quality defects or rework
Documented defects, non-conformance, remediation, or rework affected delivery.
External exposure
COVID-19 impacts
Documented pandemic impacts affected labour, supply chains, access, schedule, or cost.
Rights and legitimacy
Indigenous rights, consultation, litigation
Rights, jurisdiction, consultation, accommodation, or litigation are recorded as project-definition and legitimacy questions, never as a generic delay cause.
Upstream institutional
Governance or decision-rights weakness
Owner capability, assurance, accountability, escalation, or decision rights were documented as material to performance.
Commercial mechanism
Owner-contractor disputes or claims
Claims, disputes, or adversarial commercial conditions are recorded separately from their upstream causes.
External / market exposure
Labour availability or industrial action
Labour availability, industrial relations, or work stoppages materially affected delivery.
External exposure
Weather or natural hazards
Weather or natural hazards materially affected work, access, safety, schedule, or cost.
Systems delivery mechanism
Systems integration / commissioning
Interfaces, configuration, software, testing, or commissioning affected readiness or reliable operation.
External / commercial
Supply-chain or material delay
Materials, equipment, logistics, or supplier performance materially affected delivery.
Regulatory interface
Regulatory, permitting or compliance
Regulatory review, permitting, approvals, or compliance obligations materially shaped the project.
Mechanism, upstream roots
Scope or late-design change
Scope evolution, immature definition, or design change materially affected delivery and is traced to its upstream conditions.
Productivity or capability loss
Documented productivity deterioration, capability gaps, disrupted work fronts, or related delivery losses.
Site or geotechnical uncertainty
Ground, site, or subsurface conditions materially differed from the knowledge available to the project baseline.
Quality defects or rework
Documented defects, non-conformance, remediation, or rework affected delivery.
COVID-19 impacts
Documented pandemic impacts affected labour, supply chains, access, schedule, or cost.
Indigenous rights, consultation, litigation
Rights, jurisdiction, consultation, accommodation, or litigation are recorded as project-definition and legitimacy questions, never as a generic delay cause.
Governance or decision-rights weakness
Owner capability, assurance, accountability, escalation, or decision rights were documented as material to performance.
Owner-contractor disputes or claims
Claims, disputes, or adversarial commercial conditions are recorded separately from their upstream causes.
Labour availability or industrial action
Labour availability, industrial relations, or work stoppages materially affected delivery.
Weather or natural hazards
Weather or natural hazards materially affected work, access, safety, schedule, or cost.
Systems integration / commissioning
Interfaces, configuration, software, testing, or commissioning affected readiness or reliable operation.
Supply-chain or material delay
Materials, equipment, logistics, or supplier performance materially affected delivery.
Regulatory, permitting or compliance
Regulatory review, permitting, approvals, or compliance obligations materially shaped the project.
Scope or late-design change
Scope evolution, immature definition, or design change materially affected delivery and is traced to its upstream conditions.